(Un)Calculated Risk | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics

1 thing to know - Bettors, Bookies, and Tax-exempt Debt Managers

Posted by Peter Orr on May 09, 2013

"Horse sense is the thing a horse has which keeps it from betting on people" - W.C. Fields 

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HELP! Can SOMEONE Calculate Refunding PV Savings?

Posted by Peter Orr on May 02, 2013

"If people do not believe that mathematics is simple, it is only because they do not realize how complicated life is."                               - John von Neumann

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VIDEO: Muni Bond Sizing through Linear Optimization

Posted by Peter Orr on Apr 24, 2013

My colleague David de la Nuez (PhD Operations Research) and I build on the linear algebra from our prior video to show how to set up sources and uses and cash flows for a hypothetical three bond deal. Dr. David then solves the linear program using a few simple lines of MATLAB code; doesn't get much juicier than this, don't miss it!   

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VIDEO - Optimization in Muni Bond Sizing

Posted by Peter Orr on Mar 15, 2013

"Computer programming is an art, because it applies accumulated knowledge to the world, because it requires skill and ingenuity, and especially because it produces objects of beauty. A programmer who subconsciously views himself as an artist will enjoy what he does and will do it better."  Donald Knuth

This video builds on the overwhelming popularity of our first video on using linear algebra to structure bond deals in public finance and lays out a technique for applying a basic optimzation algorithm to simultaneously size and amortize a $100 million municipal bond deal, from 10 years out to 3,000 (just for fun). 

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VIDEO: Linear Algebra of Public Finance Debt Sizing

Posted by Peter Orr on Mar 13, 2013

"If people do not believe that mathematics is simple, it is only because they do not realize how complicated life is."  - John Louis von Neumann 

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Is the Treasury Really Going Long?

Posted by Win Smith on Feb 14, 2013

We are honored this week to have a guest post from Win Smith, author of the The Well-Tempered Spreadsheet.  Win is the president of Win Analytics LLC, an independent research and advisory firm.

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Public Finance and the 2nd half of the Technology Chessboard

Posted by Peter Orr on Feb 07, 2013

“Exponentials can’t go on forever, because they will gobble up everything.”  - Carl Sagan

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Hey, We had a Tax Event!...and a Century of Top Tax Rates

Posted by Peter Orr on Jan 12, 2013

"What is the difference between a taxidermist and a tax collector? The taxidermist takes only your skin."  - Mark Twain

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Sequestration may lead to $255MM in BABs subsidy cuts

Posted by Peter Orr on Sep 18, 2012

- On of my few shortcomings is that I can't predict the future.  - Lars Ulrich

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VIDEO: Using Excel to Size a Muni Bond Deal

Posted by Peter Orr on Aug 30, 2012

 

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