(Un)Calculated Risk | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics

VIDEO: Cashflow Risk Statistics for Tax-exempt Debt Management

Posted by Peter Orr on May 01, 2012

"Anyone who stops learning is old, whether at twenty or eighty. Anyone who keeps learning stays young. The greatest thing in life is to keep your mind young."  - Henry Ford 

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VIDEO: Analyzing Fixed vs Floating using CFaR and Product Efficiency

Posted by Peter Orr on Apr 13, 2012

Using SmartModels Stage III, this video is a case study in analyzing whether to issue fixed or  variable rate debt, both with and without cash on the balance sheet serving as a natural hedge. We calculate Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR) for the VRDBs and then graph the tradeoff between average annual (expected) debt service and CFaR. In the "with balance sheet cash" case, an efficient frontier-esque chart results from showing an optimal amount of VRDBs to issue. 

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