(Un)Calculated Risk | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics

Public Finance and the 2nd half of the Technology Chessboard

Posted by Peter Orr on Feb 07, 2013

“Exponentials can’t go on forever, because they will gobble up everything.”  - Carl Sagan

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The ‘Formula that Killed Wall Street?’ or ‘Know A Bad Rate Model When You See It’

Posted by Peter Orr on Jun 19, 2012

"Copulas are generally an early doodling activity in an area." - Anonymous Street quant

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50 Years of USTNote History - Is Default the Next Event on the Chart?

Posted by Peter Orr on Jul 06, 2011

"More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly."    - Woody Allen

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Behavioral Finance, Spreadsheets, and Bad decisions

Posted by Peter Orr on Jan 04, 2009

"The whole secret of mysticism is this: that man can understand everything by the help of what he does not understand. The morbid logician seeks to make everything lucid, and succeeds in making everything mysterious."

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My Disagreement with Fischer Black

Posted by Peter Orr on Dec 23, 2008

"What you risk reveals what you value."

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