---
title: (Un)Calculated Risk | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics | financial economy | Intuitive Analytics
description: financial economy | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics
---

# (Un)Calculated Risk | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics

## [Public Finance and the 2nd half of the Technology Chessboard](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/57533/Public-Finance-and-the-2nd-half-of-the-Technology-Chessboard)

 Posted by Peter Orr on Feb 07, 2013

[![](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/hs-fs/file-19986563-jpg/images/cell_phone_jail_small-resized-600.jpg) ](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/57533/Public-Finance-and-the-2nd-half-of-the-Technology-Chessboard)

“Exponentials can’t go on forever, because they will gobble up everything.”  - Carl Sagan

[Read More](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/57533/Public-Finance-and-the-2nd-half-of-the-Technology-Chessboard)

 Topics: [financial economy](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-economy), [public finance](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/public-finance), [Economist](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/economist)

## [The ‘Formula that Killed Wall Street?’ or ‘Know A Bad Rate Model When You See It’](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/54011/The-Formula-that-Killed-Wall-Street-or-Know-A-Bad-Rate-Model-When-You-See-It)

 Posted by Peter Orr on Jun 19, 2012

[![](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/hs-fs/file-15750621-png/images/straight_line_rate_model.png) ](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/54011/The-Formula-that-Killed-Wall-Street-or-Know-A-Bad-Rate-Model-When-You-See-It)

"Copulas are generally an early doodling activity in an area." - Anonymous Street quant

[Read More](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/54011/The-Formula-that-Killed-Wall-Street-or-Know-A-Bad-Rate-Model-When-You-See-It)

 Topics: [Financial Models](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-models), [interest rate model](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/interest-rate-model), [financial model](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-model), [financial economy](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-economy), [Financial Decisions](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-decisions), [public finance](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/public-finance), [public finance software](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/public-finance-software), [financial risk](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-risk), [public finance analytics](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/public-finance-analytics)

## [50 Years of USTNote History - Is Default the Next Event on the Chart?](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/39944/50-Years-of-USTNote-History-Is-Default-the-Next-Event-on-the-Chart)

 Posted by Peter Orr on Jul 06, 2011

[![](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/hs-fs/file-15737220-png/images/50years_of_10_year_ust_w_out_strategy-resized-600.png) ](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/39944/50-Years-of-USTNote-History-Is-Default-the-Next-Event-on-the-Chart)

"*More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly.*"    - Woody Allen

[Read More](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/39944/50-Years-of-USTNote-History-Is-Default-the-Next-Event-on-the-Chart)

 Topics: [financial analysis](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-analysis), [financial economy](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-economy), [interest rate markets](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/interest-rate-markets)

## [Behavioral Finance, Spreadsheets, and Bad decisions](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/13575/Behavioral-Finance-Spreadsheets-and-Bad-decisions)

 Posted by Peter Orr on Jan 04, 2009

 "The whole secret of mysticism is this: that man can understand everything by the help of what he does not understand. The morbid logician seeks to make everything lucid, and succeeds in making everything mysterious." 

[Read More](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/13575/Behavioral-Finance-Spreadsheets-and-Bad-decisions)

 Topics: [financial economy](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-economy), [Financial Decisions](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-decisions), [Behavioral Finance](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/behavioral-finance), [Financial Technology](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-technology), [Spreadsheets](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/spreadsheets), [Maximum Annual Debt Service (MADS)](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/maximum-annual-debt-service-mads)

## [My Disagreement with Fischer Black](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/13567/My-Disagreement-with-Fischer-Black)

 Posted by Peter Orr on Dec 23, 2008

[![](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/hs-fs/file-15745047-jpg/images/my_disagreement_with_fischer_black.jpg) ](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/13567/My-Disagreement-with-Fischer-Black)

 "What you risk reveals what you value." 

[Read More](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/bid/13567/My-Disagreement-with-Fischer-Black)

 Topics: [financial economy](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/financial-economy), [Fischer Black](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/fischer-black), [Risk Metrics](https://www.intuitive-analytics.com/blog/topic/risk-metrics)

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