(Un)Calculated Risk | by Peter Orr of Intuitive Analytics

93 Years of Top Tax Rates: What it means for Public Finance

Posted by Peter Orr on Oct 03, 2011

 

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A Quick Guide to CUSIPs in Public Finance

Posted by Sandra Duarte on Sep 07, 2011


The Committee on Uniform Security Identification Procedures (CUSIP®) came up with its alphanumeric protocol in the late 1960s to streamline the dizzying amount of paperwork piling up in the back offices of securities dealers. Despite a few changes since then, the same technology is used today.

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Why Forward Rates Should NOT be Used in Forecasting

Posted by Peter Orr on Jul 12, 2011

“It is exceedingly difficult to make predictions, particularly about the future.”

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50 Years of USTNote History - Is Default the Next Event on the Chart?

Posted by Peter Orr on Jul 06, 2011

"More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly."    - Woody Allen

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Good News for Muni Issuers: Rate and Ratio Correlations Still Work!

Posted by Peter Orr on May 10, 2011

 

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5 Risks to Capture Using Monte Carlo to Analyze Tax-Exempt VRDBs

Posted by Peter Orr on Mar 25, 2011

"Those who trust to chance must abide by the results of chance."     - Calvin Coolidge

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5 Things a True “Muni Expert” Would Say About Municipal Defaults

Posted by Peter Orr on Mar 10, 2011

“An Expert is a person who avoids small errors while sweeping on to the grand fallacy.”  - Steven Weinberg

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How do you track Public Finance Material Event Disclosures?

Posted by Peter Orr on Mar 01, 2011

 

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Top Ten Reasons Why Public Finance Data Initiatives Fail

Posted by Peter Orr on Feb 22, 2011

 

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NEWSFLASH: SIFMA/LIBOR Shows Tax Rates Trend to 0%!

Posted by Peter Orr on Dec 08, 2010

As people soak in the joy (or tragedy depending on your perspective) of the latest apparent tax deal extending current marginal tax rates for a few more years, thought we'd check in and see what the money markets have to say about future tax rates. Many people may not know that swap markets provide a way to assess the almighty market's view of future marginal tax rates. Indeed they do and currently show a near zero value to future tax-exemption.  

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